Coaching is points above the projected optimal lineup — part real skill, part players simply going off. Defense is how far below projection opponents land, and home field is your boost at home plus how badly visitors play at your place. Your opponent's score has nothing to do with you, so those two are pure noise: simulate 200,000 games with zero real advantage and home teams still win 50.19%. Over one season the error bar is about ±5%, so anything from 45% to 55% means nothing. Measured consistently, though, which is all a bragging right needs.

Legacy weights a title at 100, a final at 40, a playoff berth at 15 and a regular season win at 2, adjusted for how a franchise scored against the league average that year. Winning it all dominates, as it should — but a perennial contender who never quite closes still outranks one lucky title and five bad years. Every component is listed so you can argue with the weighting using the actual numbers.

Hold is what the book keeps of everything staked. A book running -110 both ways expects roughly 4.5% long run, but only when action is balanced — with a dozen bettors it never is, so this number swings hard and a negative figure early means variance, not mispricing.

The 2026 season is the first on the book. Once it settles, champions and career records appear here — the archive is already collecting every line and bet in the meantime.